Libya effect on iran war

So look, I was a little taken away at first because first of all, one thing that happens in Libya despite the ongoing civil war, which is pretty low scale at this point, it's pretty low intensity and it's quite sporadic when things do actually flare up and it ends pretty quickly. One thing that is a note, cannot touch rule, because the Europeans back both sides and they're absolutely reliant on Libyan fuels, Libyan oil for their highly refined military grade fuels, for example, is the oil should never be touched. Haftar has actually limited his offensives and the scope of them because he doesn't want to touch that oil.

Even though he's backed by Israel and the Emirates, there's an understanding that Libyan oil shouldn't be touched. Now, at the same time, we're seeing Haftar generals that likely have deep ties to the CIA, the Mossad, and probably that Dakhlan Khan who runs the UAE intelligence branch. like the Turks and Qataris, the back, the other side. Like, we've never known, like, these kinds of attacks in Libya, attacks on oil, attacks on high-ranking Haftar generals, we've never seen this shit before. We've never seen.

The Turks would rather kill, like, one of the Tripoli-backed government generals because he's not being enough of a servile cunt. They'd rather kill that cunt in a plane crash than they would want to cross like the Emirati or Israeli line of killing a Haftar general, like a Haftar toilet.

So this lines up with something else. We've seen in the last day now, right, this Iranian general go on to the national news network of Iran, IRIB, and openly talk about, no, we have plans to expand operations, to act offensively, to engage in clandestine plots in enemy territory. You know, it doesn't always have to be drones and missiles, right?

And then we've seen that there's now a formal directive from Mustafa that was made public, that was published, where he is basically giving the IRGC a blank check and an open hand to just engage in offensive operations, whether they're of a covert intelligence-related nature or probably actual conventional strikes with missiles and drones. But he's giving the IRGC in this directive a free hand to engage in offensive operations that can extend beyond the region if necessary, wherever they see fit. So between what this high-ranking IRGC general said, this Mojtaba directive, and this random activity in Libya that is crossing all lines, that both sides, both the two main factions that are in that arena, normally just, they're not known to cross, right?

The attacks on oil, the attacks on Haftar General, these are lines that aren't crossed in this, you know, this pretend fucking civil war that they play out, this toilet civil war. So whoever's doing it doesn't give a fuck. They don't give a fuck about the balance of the political order in Libya, which is something that would make the Europeans more than anyone very nervous, okay?

Not even so much the Israelis and the Turks and the Emiratis, although they're probably looking at it with some concern as well. But it's the Europeans, too, because the Europeans are highly reliant on that really high-quality Libyan oil that gives them their high-grade military fuels. And even broadly speaking, just other fuel. Also, if Libya becomes like a place where it's known that ships are a threat, not that there's been an attack on a ship yet, but like oil refineries and shit close to the coast get attacked.

If this becomes a known thing, shipping prices for just inter-Mediterranean transit will go up, right? It's a whole new field of insecurity, and it specifically would scare the Europeans the most if this situation persists in Libya. Who could be behind it?

I mean, we don't know, but it's got to be Iran, because Iran is the only actor right now that just doesn't give a fuck. They don't give a fuck about what the balance of power is. You know, the unofficial red lines between Haftar and the Tripoli-backed government, for example.

They don't give a fuck. And all they have to do, they don't have to do it with Iranian operatives. Although precision drone strikes are the thing that are striking those refineries at the moment. So perhaps there are operatives or maybe not even Iranian, just Iranian trained operatives that are native to Libya. We don't know. But whoever's doing it doesn't give a fuck. They've picked a faction. if it is Iran, and even if they're just doing it through proxies, they've picked a random faction in Libya that just does not give a fuck about the political and military balance that the Turks, Europeans, Emiratis, and the Israelis all try to maintain, despite the fact that there are two opposing factions controlling, you know, broadly speaking, two halves of the country.